As the 2026 NFL Fantasy Football draft season approaches, many players find themselves in the critical middle rounds, specifically Rounds 9 through 12. These rounds can significantly impact a team's depth and overall success, much like how consistent training is essential for long-distance runners preparing for events like the Air Force Marathon. In this phase of the draft, savvy managers must identify players who may not contribute effectively to their rosters.
In the early rounds, fantasy managers typically focus on securing reliable starters. Rounds 1-4 are dedicated to foundational players who will be weekly contributors, while Rounds 5-8 often yield solid options that may serve as flex players or match-up based starters. However, as the draft progresses into Rounds 9-12, the focus shifts to depth and finding hidden gems that can provide value, especially during bye weeks or injury crises.
When evaluating potential picks in these later rounds, it is crucial to consider the risk of selecting players who may not live up to expectations. This is particularly true for players with injury histories or those in uncertain team situations. For instance, Chuba Hubbard of the Carolina Panthers exemplifies a player to avoid in Round 9. After a promising start to the 2025 season, Hubbard's performance dwindled due to a calf injury that allowed backup Rico Dowdle to take over the lead role. With the addition of rookie Jonathan Brooks and ongoing concerns about the Panthers' offensive line, Hubbard's potential for success appears limited heading into 2026.
Similarly, Round 10 presents another risky selection in J.K. Dobbins of the Denver Broncos. Despite being one of the most efficient rushers in the league when healthy, Dobbins has struggled with injuries throughout his career, missing significant time in multiple seasons. The Broncos' drafting of Jonah Coleman, who shares a similar running style, coupled with Dobbins' injury history, raises concerns about his ability to maintain a lead role. Fantasy managers must weigh the potential reward against the risk of selecting a player who may not be on the field consistently.
In Round 11, Courtland Sutton of the Broncos is another player who may not be worth the investment. With the arrival of young talent like Jaylen Waddle, Sutton's target share could diminish, especially given the Broncos' evolving offensive scheme. Historical performance metrics suggest that Sutton may face increased competition for targets, making him a less desirable option in this round.
Finally, in Round 12, Jordan Addison of the Minnesota Vikings presents an intriguing but risky choice. While Addison has shown flashes of brilliance, his role in a crowded receiving corps may limit his overall production. With established players like T.J. Hockenson and new additions like Jauan Jennings, Addison's opportunities could be scarce, potentially relegating him to a bench player rather than a reliable starter.
In summary, as fantasy football enthusiasts prepare for the 2026 season, avoiding these players in Rounds 9-12 may be essential for building a competitive roster. By focusing on depth and minimizing risk, managers can enhance their chances of success in the upcoming season.
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