As the MLB season continues, fans and bettors alike are keeping a close eye on potential home run hitters. On August 12, 2026, two players stand out as promising options for home run bets: Pete Alonso of the Baltimore Orioles and Dominic Canzone of the Seattle Mariners. Both players have demonstrated significant power this season, making them attractive choices for those looking to place bets on home runs.
Pete Alonso, a slugging first baseman, recently showcased his power by hitting a home run, bringing his season total to 26. His performance has been impressive, as he ranks second among 182 qualified batters in exit velocity at 95.0 mph and first in hard-hit rate at 61.3%. Despite only hitting four home runs in 96 plate appearances from July 16 through August 10, his underlying metrics suggest that he is capable of more. Alonso has been particularly effective against right-handed pitching, hitting 20 of his home runs in those matchups.
Today, Alonso faces Zebby Matthews, a right-handed pitcher who has struggled with home runs this season, allowing 1.78 home runs per nine innings. Matthews has given up multiple home runs in five of his starts and has been particularly vulnerable to right-handed batters. Given Alonso's track record and the favorable matchup, many believe he has a strong chance to add another home run to his tally this afternoon.
On the other hand, Dominic Canzone is also a player to watch. The Mariners' outfielder has steadily improved his home run count each season since making his MLB debut in 2023, currently sitting at a career-high 18 home runs through 348 plate appearances. Canzone has been especially effective against right-handed pitchers, hitting 14 of his home runs in those matchups. His batted-ball statistics are impressive as well, ranking highly in barrels per plate appearance and hard-hit rate.
Canzone's matchup today is against Will Warren, who has allowed 15 home runs this season at a rate of 1.18 HR/9. Notably, Warren has surrendered 10 home runs to left-handed batters, which bodes well for Canzone's chances. Additionally, playing at Yankee Stadium, known for its favorable conditions for home runs, further enhances Canzone's prospects. The park's high home run factor makes it an ideal setting for hitters looking to launch the ball out of the park.
With both Alonso and Canzone positioned to potentially hit home runs today, bettors will be keen to monitor their performances. The MLB season has seen ups and downs for home run betting, with a current record of 19-74 and three no-bets. While the profits have been modest, standing at $61 for those placing $100 bets on each suggested home run, the potential for today’s games could provide an opportunity to improve that record.
As the day unfolds, fans and bettors will be watching closely to see if Alonso and Canzone can deliver on their home run potential, adding excitement to the ongoing MLB season.
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